KEDM Lite Vol. 18

Actionable event-driven and special situations

We highlight and monitor actionable event-driven trades and special situations.

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Disclaimer. KEDM Lite is provided for informative purposes only. No due diligence has (yet) been performed on the names on this list. The list might change strongly on a regular basis. This overview does not constitute advice; always do your own due diligence. The list is dynamic; it continues to grow and change. If you have interesting additions to the list, feel free to contact us at info@kedm.com or on Twitter. For the full disclaimer, please go here.

This week’s additions and highlights

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1. SPIN-OFFS

• Adaptive Biotechnologies (ADPT US). Adaptive will separate its MRD and Immune Medicine businesses, aiming to focus on MRD diagnostics while exploring strategic and structural options for Immune Medicine. The separation is expected to move swiftly, expected by year‑end 2026. To support the move Adaptive is also planning a $250m convertible‑notes offering to finance a bunch of stuff (capped‑call transactions, $25m buybacks, repayment of OrbiMed obligations, MRD growth initiatives).

• Core Lithium (CXO AU). Core Lithium will spin out its Northern Territory and South Australia gold-exploration assets (’Axiant Resources’). Core keeps all lithium rights and will hold a meaningful equity stake in Axiant and so remaining a lithium‑only producer. The spin is targeted for July–August. Always interesting to keep these different metal spins on the watchlist, certainly when the core business is close to ramping revenues.

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2. STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES & REVIEWS

(Potential take-outs, asset sales, M&A, etc.)

• Banqup (BANQ BB). Banqup launches a ‘strategic simplification plan’, exploring a split of its business units and potential divestments or even a full group sale. This is all the result of an eight‑month strategic review, to basically conclude ‘something must happen here’. Banqup is having a horrible year so far, not helped by AI-related fears. That said this is indeed a business that several different units, some of which could fetch a nice valuation, such as the core e‑invoicing unit (profitable, cash‑generative and set to benefit from mandatory e‑invoicing in France, Germany and Spain).

• Braemer Hotels & Resorts (BHR US). Braemer will try to go at it alone. The hotel REIT ended its strategic review without a sale, and will terminate its advisory agreement with Ashford, shifting to a self‑managed REIT structure. The idea here is that simplifying the company (cutting costs, improving governance, restructuring the portfolio) is a better outcome than selling the business. We’re not that convinced. But all current directors will step down. Braemar intends to focus on a 6–8‑property luxury portfolio and is evaluating three additional asset sales to complete its separation from Ashford and strengthen long‑term profitability. Isn’t there also a potential $480m termination fee owed to Ashford (the external advisor controlled by the company’s chairman) now? Feels like this isn’t over.